Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 311 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points up, to 8.2% on 22 Nov 2025. $164.09K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-margin-called-in-2025
| Yo7016 | Yes | 1.09K |
| xadria | Yes | 999.99 |
| Mcwhales | Yes | 820.89 |
| acal | Yes | 748.22 |
| Gethigher | Yes | 700 |
| Flanders299 | Yes | 500.39 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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