Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 17 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 14.5% on 18 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 4.5% on 19 Jul 2025. $2.69M traded over the market's life.
213 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 17 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fesfouss | Yes | 91.53K |
| jaja5050 | Yes | 66.19K |
| Refuse2Lose | Yes | 30.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between July 15, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 30.17K |
| politicsone | Yes | 29.51K |
| born2berich | Yes | 23.37K |
| cowcat | Yes | 14.15K |
| Shimmering-Wharf | Yes | 10.15K |
| SgtChickensLonelyGizzard | Yes | 6.02K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 5.4K |
