Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.048 | $0.21 | -$0.08 |
 Will UBS fail by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.051 | $0.26 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.99 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.12 |
| -$0.96 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3 | $0.013 | $0.08 | +$0.04 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.059 | $0.07 | +$0.01 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.110 | $0.05 | -$0.06 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.120 | $0.03 | -$0.09 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2 | $0.008 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 5.4 |
| $0.050 |
| $0.27 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 46.92 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?Yes | sell | 168 | $0.002 | $0.34 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.005 | $0.33 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?Yes | sell | 39.69 | $0.008 | $0.32 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Yes | sell | 49.24 | $0.014 | $0.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | sell | 57.14 | $0.014 | $0.78 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes | sell | 40.38 | $0.021 | $0.85 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.003 | $0.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.22 | $0.008 | $0.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 382.29 | $0.002 | $0.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30.92 | $0.011 | $0.34 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.041 | $0.95 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.468 | $1.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.552 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | sell | 2.61 | $0.460 | $1.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 405.5 | $0.003 | $1.22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 282.19 | $0.004 | $1.13 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Yes | sell | 88.1 | $0.031 | $2.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 617.66 | $0.002 | $1.24 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.002 | $3.15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.58K | $0.002 | $5.17 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.55K | $0.001 | $2.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.68K | $0.002 | $5.37 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.58K | $0.002 | $5.16 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.023 | $3.29 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.033 | $1.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Yes | sell | 185.1 | $0.041 | $7.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | sell | 116.8 | $0.091 | $10.63 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.19 | $0.160 | $3.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.480 | $1.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.550 | $1.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.450 | $1.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.440 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.003 | $1.58 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.590 | $1.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.500 | $1.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.006 | $2.52 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | buy | 26.8 | $0.075 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.003 | $2.1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | buy | 51.99 | $0.077 | $4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.317 | $1.69 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.999 | $3.01 | Jun 25, 2026 |