Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 12 points from 16% when the market opened on 4 Feb 2026.
Across the 252 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 21 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 4%.
$115.91K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.72K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Cobalt Vector 2A07 with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is Trashbag with 11.1K. Ten wallets hold 73.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 12:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 252 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 16.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trashbag | No | 11.12K |
| Cobalt Vector 2A07 | Yes | 7.48K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 3.44K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-margin-called-in-2026
| MGB2 |
| No |
| 2K |
| expyexpy | Yes | 1.98K |
| Coral Beacon 5048 | No | 1.85K |
| 71N | Yes | 1.82K |
| Royal Vector 5EBC | Yes | 1.53K |
| Light-Sandbar | Yes | 1.17K |
| Wojtek | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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