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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 17.73 | $0.860 | $16.86 | +$1.61 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 16.33 |
| $0.857 |
| $14.33 |
| +$0.33 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 13.51 | $0.740 | $12.7 | +$2.7 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 14.29 | $0.840 | $12.21 | +$0.21 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $11.36 | +$1.36 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.51 | +$0.51 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.42 | +$0.42 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 8.86 | $0.790 | $6.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 3.87 | $0.937 | $3.72 | +$0.09 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.45 | $0.550 | $2.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 10 | $0.200 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.25 | $0.890 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.64 | $0.108 | $0.93 | +$0.43 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.430 | $0.86 | +$0.36 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.220 | $0.59 | +$0.34 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 4.35 | $0.460 | $0.08 | -$1.92 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.069 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 43 | $0.012 | $0.02 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 2.06 |
| $0.972 |
| $2 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.660 | $0.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.759 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.62 | $0.276 | $1.28 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 85.98 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.126 | $0.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 13.3 | $0.752 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.784 | $15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.074 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 480.18 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.403 | $1.01 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 3 | $0.444 | $1.33 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.32 | $0.441 | $2.35 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.709 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.090 | $0.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.330 | $0.99 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.560 | $1.96 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 7 | $0.281 | $1.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.283 | $3 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.990 | $5.12 | Feb 19, 2026 |