Latest trade
Jul 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 8:34 AM UTC.
Analytics
Hechuan is down $1.66K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 8:34 AM UTC.
$60.36 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 240 markets; 86.8% were buys. They run from Nov 28, 2025 UTC to Jul 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 576.33 | $0.810 | $535.99 | +$68.89 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump accuse Israel of election interference by July 16?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 07:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 08:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 08:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $582.61 and losing ones cost $853.51 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $70 on “US x China tariff agreement by December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $196.6 on “US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?” (No).
It first traded on 25 Sep 2025 and most recently on 14 Jul 2026, 95 days ago. It has traded 408 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.1K across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 443.02 |
| $0.840 |
| $425.08 |
| +$52.78 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 260 | $0.740 | $231.4 | +$39 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 958.46 | $0.244 | $153.35 | -$80.64 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 163.64 | $0.849 | $151.36 | +$12.36 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 171.98 | $0.304 | $102.33 | +$50.09 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 105 | $0.737 | $84 | +$6.65 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.809 | $83.5 | +$2.55 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 99.98 | $0.780 | $80.99 | +$3 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | No | 99.99 | $0.830 | $78.49 | -$4.5 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 254.06 | $0.868 | $66.06 | -$154.44 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 60.27 | $0.664 | $57.71 | +$17.71 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 105.79 | $0.378 | $14.28 | -$25.72 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 14.21 | $0.939 | $13.66 | +$0.31 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.210 | $9.5 | -$11.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.330 | $6.5 | -$26.5 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 148.89 | $0.301 | $5.66 | -$39.14 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.360 | $2.61 | -$17.39 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.730 |
| $73 |
| Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.960 | $115.2 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.809 | $80.95 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.830 | $37.35 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 102.46 | $0.939 | $96.21 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.685 | $13.7 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 93 | $0.739 | $68.72 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?No | buy | 40 | $0.972 | $38.88 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?No | buy | 87.17 | $0.981 | $85.47 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 38.5 | $0.910 | $35.04 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.780 | $26.52 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 16.2 | $0.860 | $13.93 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?No | buy | 69.9 | $0.976 | $68.22 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.976 | $49.78 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will no press briefing air by July 31?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.910 | $5.3 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.896 | $35.84 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?No | buy | 100 | $0.921 | $92.1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.956 | $130.02 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?No | buy | 9.36 | $0.917 | $8.58 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?No | buy | 180 | $0.940 | $169.2 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.990 | $116.46 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.983 | $196.6 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.917 | $11.85 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.970 | $17.12 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.906 | $45.31 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.957 | $95.7 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.