Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 250.87 | $0.923 | $241.21 | +$9.56 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.009 | $0.01 | May 28, 2026 |
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| No |
| 201.63 |
| $0.825 |
| $195.48 |
| +$29.12 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 136.56 | $0.785 | $127.68 | +$20.41 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 96.06 | $0.926 | $92.84 | +$3.9 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 92.99 | $0.933 | $90.15 | +$3.42 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 70.78 | $0.800 | $66.18 | +$9.58 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 60.33 | $0.905 | $59.27 | +$4.65 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 60.91 | $0.865 | $57.56 | +$4.84 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 53.38 | $0.675 | $46.17 | +$10.12 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 48.26 | $0.910 | $45.87 | +$1.95 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 51.54 | $0.852 | $45.1 | +$1.18 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 48.01 | $0.655 | $42.97 | +$11.53 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 47.49 | $0.752 | $40.6 | +$4.89 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 48.71 | $0.329 | $40.19 | +$24.14 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 38.21 | $0.910 | $37.12 | +$2.36 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 38.77 | $0.112 | $32.24 | +$27.89 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 32.95 | $0.851 | $30.48 | +$2.45 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 31.18 | $0.848 | $29.31 | +$2.88 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 31.49 | $0.796 | $29.13 | +$4.05 |
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | No | 31.98 | $0.561 | $27.66 | +$9.71 |
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 28.16 | $0.848 | $26.89 | +$3.02 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 26.58 | $0.943 | $25.97 | +$0.91 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 24.57 | $0.770 | $23.22 | +$4.31 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 22.92 | $0.881 | $22.77 | +$2.58 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 33.44 | $0.811 | $21.9 | -$5.21 |
| sell |
| 15.06 |
| $0.998 |
| $15.03 |
| May 28, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | buy | 16.31 | $0.150 | $2.45 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.26 | $0.548 | $10.55 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No | sell | 29.47 | $0.998 | $29.41 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.499 | $6.52 | May 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 30.97 | $0.660 | $20.44 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | May 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.042 | $0.42 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.660 | $5.28 | May 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 29.95 | $0.054 | $1.62 | May 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 23.32 | $0.170 | $3.96 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.64 | $0.491 | $12.1 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Supernova win NACL 2026 Spring?No | buy | 19.56 | $0.999 | $19.54 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.36 | $0.493 | $12.5 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.494 | $8.4 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 26.04 | $0.995 | $25.91 | May 28, 2026 |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals | sell | 39.45 | $0.190 | $7.5 | May 28, 2026 |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals | buy | 10.49 | $0.460 | $4.83 | May 28, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.495 | $10.89 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 23.96 | $0.997 | $23.89 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.93 | $0.130 | $1.55 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.073 | $1.61 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.32 | $0.489 | $12.87 | May 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 33.57 | $0.590 | $19.81 | May 27, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.710 | $7.59 | May 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.43 | $0.610 | $10.02 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.57 | $0.553 | $9.16 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.68 | $0.830 | $32.1 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.58 | $0.850 | $9.84 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 14.53 | $0.984 | $14.3 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?No | buy | 23.66 | $0.998 | $23.61 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.089 | $2.55 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.28 | $0.063 | $0.65 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.67 | $0.968 | $22.91 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.24 | $0.170 | $8.37 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.67 | $0.210 | $4.13 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.14 | $0.170 | $5.12 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.74 | $0.140 | $5.84 | May 27, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.950 | $9.54 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.86 | $0.200 | $3.97 | May 27, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No | buy | 22.5 | $0.910 | $20.48 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.77 | $0.220 | $5.45 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | May 27, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 15.97 | $0.972 | $15.52 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 19.51 | $0.870 | $16.97 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.34 | $0.200 | $5.07 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 31.42 | $0.996 | $31.29 | May 27, 2026 |