Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.270 | $2.5 | +$1.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 19d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $2.06 |
| +$1.06 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 2.14 | $0.933 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.784 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1 |
| 19d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.290 | $1.21 | 19d ago |
 Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.570 | $1.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Megaquake by June 30?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.913 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Megaquake by June 30?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.933 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BTundra Esports | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular SeasonAlter Ego | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.927 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.985 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Yes | sell | 130.62 | $0.002 | $0.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Yes | buy | 123.8 | $0.007 | $0.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.996 | $1.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.789 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.510 | $0.95 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.490 | $0.9 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.530 | $0.95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.784 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: BMZ vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 PlayoffsBMZ | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam PlayoffsAurora Gaming | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers QualifiersFaZe Vegas | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsPaper Rex | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Brasilia: Facundo Acosta vs Luis Guto MiguelLuis Guto Miguel | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 BNP Paribas Open: Magda Linette vs Ashlyn KruegerMagda Linette | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.849 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |