Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 140 | $0.731 | $107.8 | +$5.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
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| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.660 |
| $21 |
| +$1.2 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.850 | $17.1 | +$0.1 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | Over | 20 | $0.860 | $16.5 | -$0.7 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.650 | $7.3 | -$5.7 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.730 | $6.35 | -$0.95 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.120 | $6 | -$3.6 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.390 | $6 | +$2.1 |
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 25 | $0.532 | $4.88 | -$8.42 |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.21 | -$2.79 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.580 | $1.9 | -$9.7 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $1.75 | -$3.25 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.670 | $1.1 | -$5.6 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.420 | $0.89 | -$4.11 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.590 | $0.83 | -$28.68 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 31.76 | $0.830 | $26.36 | 3d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 4d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | 5d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | 5d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 7d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 7d ago |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul AND US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech | buy | 14.81 | $0.664 | $9.83 | 7d ago |
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 7d ago |
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Final Four AND LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | buy | 18.38 | $0.532 | $9.77 | 9d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 9d ago |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 9d ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 10d ago |
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.650 | $8.66 | 10d ago |
Will Andy Burnham say "Police" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 10d ago |
Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 10d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 10d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 10d ago |
| US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate AND Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-09-01? | buy | 8.55 | $0.572 | $4.9 | 10d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | 10d ago |
Will "Experimental" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 10d ago |
Will "Experimental" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.119 | $0.6 | 10d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 10d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 10d ago |
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 10d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | 10d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 10d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | 15d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 16d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?No | buy | 36.49 | $0.548 | $20 | 21d ago |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 50.67 | $0.920 | $46.62 | 23d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.740 | $59.2 | 26d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 26d ago |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group AND LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | buy | 6.81 | $0.575 | $3.92 | 26d ago |
| Panthers vs. Bills AND Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli AND Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone AND Browns vs. Bears | buy | 19 | $0.357 | $6.78 | 27d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.480 | $14.4 | 29d ago |
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 29d ago |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 29d ago |
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.992 | $3.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 50.67 | $0.592 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?Yes | sell | 16.24 | $0.999 | $16.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?Yes | buy | 16.24 | $0.616 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |