Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 247.07 | $0.097 | $12.23 | -$11.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 21d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 118.18 |
| $0.008 |
| $8.21 |
| +$7.21 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.003 | $3.17 | +$2.17 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 26.33 | $0.076 | $2.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | Yes | 253.29 | $0.024 | $1.9 | -$4.1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $1.67 | -$8.33 |
 Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 750 | $0.004 | $1.13 | -$1.87 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 28.31 | $0.035 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.005 | $1 | -$1 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.021 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.003 | $0.83 | -$4.17 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.004 | $0.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 13.43 | $0.074 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.002 | $0.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? | Yes | 317.3 | $0.003 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 7.18 | $0.139 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.095 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.077 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.002 |
| $2 |
| 21d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.851 | $4.48 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 777.63 | $0.003 | $2.33 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 89.29 | $0.280 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | sell | 35 | $0.590 | $20.67 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp | buy | 59.72 | $0.419 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 35 | $0.629 | $22 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown | buy | 32.15 | $0.778 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.27 | $0.292 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5) | buy | 76.11 | $0.063 | $4.77 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 777.64 | $0.013 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 129.35 | $0.031 | $4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.069 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 118.18 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $180 end of July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?Yes | buy | 412.62 | $0.007 | $3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 197.73 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in July?Yes | buy | 616.26 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in July?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 70.83 | $0.350 | $24.79 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 620.45 | $0.005 | $3.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.005 | $7.26 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.006 | $6.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |