Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.053 | $75.9 | +$70.6 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 19.57 | $0.020 | $0.39 | Jun 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 86 |
| $0.100 |
| $55.47 |
| +$46.87 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 183.61 | $0.049 | $44.53 | +$35.47 |
 Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $34.05 | +$25.05 |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 57 | $0.019 | $32.6 | +$31.52 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | Yes | 144.12 | $0.037 | $18.16 | +$12.84 |
 Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | No | 23.96 | $0.040 | $17.25 | +$16.29 |
 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 184.98 | $0.011 | $10.73 | +$8.69 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | Yes | 24.67 | $0.050 | $9.25 | +$8.02 |
| Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.32 | $0.050 | $9.24 | +$3.77 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 142.73 | $0.006 | $8.06 | +$7.14 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $7.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $7.25 | +$3.25 |
 Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027? | Yes | 87.86 | $0.100 | $6.59 | -$2.2 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $6.5 | +$1.5 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 111 | $0.050 | $6.22 | +$0.67 |
 Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 35.6 | $0.090 | $5.36 | +$2.15 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $5.3 | -$4.7 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 85.31 | $0.033 | $3.8 | +$0.98 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $3.35 | -$3.65 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | Yes | 107.5 | $0.060 | $3.23 | -$3.23 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $2.75 | -$7.25 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | Yes | 79.59 | $0.088 | $2.75 | -$4.26 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? | Yes | 26.11 | $0.050 | $2.61 | +$1.31 |
| sell |
| 106.27 |
| $0.020 |
| $2.13 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 47.5 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will OG Anunoby lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 James Norton announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 148.64 | $0.084 | $12.46 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 97.8 | $0.020 | $1.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.070 | $3.92 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.046 | $4.6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.008 | $0.06 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5.05 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.48 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.045 | $4.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.8 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.071 | $7.07 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.09 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.93 | $0.100 | $1.39 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 6.74 | $0.027 | $0.18 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |