Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.027 | $143.39 | +$77.99 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.1K |
| $0.010 |
| $63.75 |
| +$12.37 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 62.52 | $0.043 | $59.99 | +$57.32 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 4.4K | $0.010 | $52.75 | +$10.22 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5.39K | $0.007 | $48.52 | +$10.77 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 625 | $0.059 | $34.38 | -$2.62 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | Yes | 850 | $0.049 | $30.18 | -$11.82 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Yes | 419.99 | $0.059 | $29.4 | +$4.64 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 487.49 | $0.090 | $26.81 | -$16.9 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.357 | $20.48 | -$33.08 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.029 | $19.8 | +$8.36 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2.41K | $0.014 | $19.27 | -$14.64 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 200 | $0.074 | $19 | +$4.25 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.086 | $18 | -$16.37 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.047 | $14.4 | +$7.4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 100 | $0.124 | $14 | +$1.55 |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.003 | $13.92 | +$6.03 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.074 | $12.75 | +$1.63 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 732.15 | $0.029 | $11.71 | -$9.46 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 508.09 | $0.012 | $10.16 | +$3.95 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 87.49 | $0.111 | $10.06 | +$0.39 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 82.32 | $0.035 | $8.77 | +$5.89 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.043 | $7.25 | +$5.13 |
| Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.004 | $6 | -$9.44 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.060 | $5 | +$2 |
| buy |
| 37.5 |
| $0.090 |
| $3.38 |
| 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 7d ago |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 283.9 | $0.002 | $0.57 | 8d ago |
| Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.063 | $1.26 | 15d ago |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.005 | $0.73 | 16d ago |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 645.59 | $0.003 | $1.94 | 17d ago |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.91 | $0.008 | $1.23 | 17d ago |
| Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Yes | sell | 55.61 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 18d ago |
| Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.002 | $0.15 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.040 | $1.02 | 19d ago |
 Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.007 | $0.32 | 20d ago |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 333.68 | $0.003 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 25d ago |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 257.88 | $0.006 | $1.55 | 25d ago |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 40.65 | $0.004 | $0.18 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | 25d ago |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.31 | $0.007 | $0.11 | 27d ago |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 376.62 | $0.003 | $1.13 | 27d ago |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.3 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 145.09 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 62.48 | $0.009 | $0.56 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.070 | $1.43 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | sell | 274.99 | $0.006 | $1.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 96.57 | $0.184 | $17.81 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.009 | $1.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.050 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?No | sell | 300 | $0.018 | $5.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.139 | $0.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.060 | $0.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.034 | $0.44 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | sell | 24.5 | $0.036 | $0.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.036 | $0.41 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Yes | sell | 126 | $0.040 | $5.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?No | sell | 78.62 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 117.52 | $0.080 | $9.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 117.52 | $0.039 | $4.58 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.180 | $1.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.2 | $0.080 | $2.1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.090 | $1.13 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |