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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.498 | $175.5 | -$1.17K |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 145.4 |
| $0.340 |
| $137.4 |
| +$87.89 |
 Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? | No | 150 | $0.447 | $123.75 | +$56.75 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $93.75 | +$43.75 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.954 | $92.15 | -$3.25 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.770 | $87.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 550 | $0.670 | $84.15 | -$284.65 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.650 | $46 | -$214 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.270 | $43.75 | -$23.75 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.480 | $36.5 | -$11.5 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.295 | $34.3 | -$172.5 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.580 | $29 | -$87 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 50 | $0.800 | $26.5 | -$13.5 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.470 | $22.95 | -$19.35 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $18.94 | +$1.74 |
 Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.640 | $15 | -$49 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.050 | $11.5 | +$6.5 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.240 | $10 | -$9.2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.610 | $7.5 | -$23 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.210 | $6 | -$15 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $4.68 | -$5.33 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 95 | $0.010 | $2.99 | +$2.04 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.86 | $0.120 | $1.72 | +$1.37 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.53 | -$3.48 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.570 |
| $114 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.642 | $32.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.620 | $107.88 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.645 | $129 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.051 | $5.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?Yes | sell | 42.2 | $0.054 | $2.28 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 10.57 | $0.420 | $4.44 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.709 | $70.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.653 | $65.3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.470 | $141 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.240 | $46.32 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 25.21 | $0.548 | $13.81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.01 | $0.580 | $21.47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?No | buy | 67.62 | $0.546 | $36.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.560 | $84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Feb 28, 2026 |