Analytics
Festka has made $126.1K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 807.94 | $0.910 | $774 | +$38.78 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 10 | 0 | $0 | |
| uncategorized | +$3.6K | $132.56K | 30,438 | 354 | 37.6% | $36.19K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-18 12:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 20:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 20:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-18 12:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $398.38K and losing ones cost $148.6K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $69.81K on “Spurs vs. Clippers” (Spurs); the largest loss, $33.1K on “Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?” (Yes).
It has traded 599 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($132.56K). Its open positions are worth $943.18 across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 360.62 |
| $0.621 |
| $20.19 |
| -$203.79 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 20 | $0.537 | $14.9 | +$4.15 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.705 | $9.98 | +$2.93 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.715 | $9.97 | +$2.82 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.710 | $9.84 | +$2.74 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.795 | $9.55 | +$1.6 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.080 | $9.44 | +$8.64 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 10 | $0.800 | $9.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.820 | $5.71 | +$0.79 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 5 | $0.660 | $5 | +$1.7 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.931 | $4.95 | +$0.3 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $4.93 | +$1.88 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.790 | $4.85 | +$0.91 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.090 | $4.85 | +$4.4 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $4.8 | +$3.15 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.052 | $4.71 | +$4.45 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.594 | $4.68 | -$27.97 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.68 | +$0.98 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $4.68 | +$2.68 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.810 | $4.6 | +$0.55 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.720 | $4.58 | +$0.98 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.420 | $3.85 | +$1.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 20 | $0.162 | $1.5 | -$1.75 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.225 | $1.3 | -$0.95 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
