Analytics
Festka has made $126.1K on Polymarket, #1,570 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 807.94 | $0.910 | $773.6 | +$38.38 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 04:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 08:27 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-18 12:59 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $398.38K and losing ones cost $148.6K across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $69.81K on “Spurs vs. Clippers” (Spurs); the largest loss, $33.1K on “Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?” (Yes).
It has traded 599 markets. Its open positions are worth $939.2 across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 360.62 |
| $0.621 |
| $16.77 |
| -$207.22 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 20 | $0.537 | $14.9 | +$4.15 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.705 | $9.98 | +$2.93 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.715 | $9.97 | +$2.82 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.710 | $9.84 | +$2.74 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.795 | $9.6 | +$1.65 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.080 | $9.54 | +$8.74 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 10 | $0.800 | $9.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.820 | $5.73 | +$0.81 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 5 | $0.660 | $5 | +$1.7 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.931 | $4.96 | +$0.31 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5 | $0.610 | $4.92 | +$1.87 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 4.99 | $0.790 | $4.87 | +$0.93 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.090 | $4.83 | +$4.38 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $4.81 | +$3.16 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.052 | $4.7 | +$4.44 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.68 | +$0.98 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.720 | $4.63 | +$1.03 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.400 | $4.63 | +$2.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.810 | $4.58 | +$0.53 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.594 | $4.4 | -$28.25 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.420 | $3.85 | +$1.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 20 | $0.162 | $1.5 | -$1.75 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.225 | $1.3 | -$0.95 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
