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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 669.05 | $0.840 | $632.25 | +$70.25 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 9.58 | $0.260 | $2.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 634 |
| $0.840 |
| $612.76 |
| +$80.2 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 604.3 | $0.930 | $594.33 | +$32.33 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 597.84 | $0.900 | $574.23 | +$36.14 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 571.02 | $0.902 | $539.61 | +$24.61 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 384.62 | $0.910 | $366.73 | +$16.73 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 343.55 | $0.815 | $323.28 | +$43.28 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 330.17 | $0.939 | $320.43 | +$10.43 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 315.64 | $0.805 | $303.49 | +$49.39 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 322 | $0.750 | $284.97 | +$43.47 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 290.12 | $0.810 | $271.27 | +$36.27 |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | Yes | 302.56 | $0.780 | $270.79 | +$34.8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 285.53 | $0.760 | $266.97 | +$49.97 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 296.16 | $0.780 | $265.06 | +$34.06 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 271.26 | $0.870 | $259.06 | +$23.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 282.93 | $0.820 | $258.88 | +$26.88 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 262.51 | $0.899 | $256.08 | +$20.08 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 270 | $0.900 | $255.15 | +$12.15 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | No | 263.04 | $0.920 | $253.84 | +$11.84 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 268.5 | $0.821 | $252.39 | +$31.99 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 275 | $0.880 | $248.88 | +$6.88 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 254.84 | $0.930 | $247.45 | +$10.45 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 250 | $0.940 | $245.63 | +$10.63 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 255.65 | $0.907 | $244.15 | +$12.15 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 259.64 | $0.890 | $241.98 | +$10.98 |
| sell |
| 0.32 |
| $0.980 |
| $0.31 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 19.69 | $0.965 | $19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?No | buy | 31.76 | $0.913 | $29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 26.31 | $0.798 | $21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.777 | $11.65 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.835 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 44.19 | $0.950 | $42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 36.25 | $0.800 | $29 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 54.43 | $0.790 | $43 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No | buy | 35.57 | $0.900 | $32 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 56.67 | $0.900 | $51 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 135.79 | $0.928 | $126 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 145.74 | $0.940 | $137 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 256.37 | $0.944 | $242 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 263.04 | $0.920 | $242 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?No | buy | 263.04 | $0.920 | $242 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 192.04 | $0.870 | $167 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 69.52 | $0.430 | $29.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 32.35 | $0.420 | $13.59 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 251.61 | $0.930 | $234 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 32.36 | $0.773 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 25.39 | $0.945 | $24 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 118.28 | $0.360 | $42.61 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No | buy | 48.27 | $0.912 | $44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?No | buy | 19.79 | $0.960 | $19 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 40.96 | $0.830 | $34 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.845 | $15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No | buy | 69.14 | $0.955 | $66 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.29 | $0.871 | $103 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 275 | $0.880 | $242 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 36.84 | $0.760 | $28 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 34.83 | $0.947 | $33 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | sell | 36.42 | $0.295 | $10.74 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 68.96 | $0.769 | $53 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 164.24 | $0.865 | $142 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | buy | 36.42 | $0.906 | $33 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | sell | 296.38 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 199.41 | $0.842 | $168 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 209.17 | $0.956 | $200 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 141.85 | $0.846 | $120 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 63.9 | $0.767 | $49 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | sell | 39 | $0.360 | $14.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 39.44 | $0.862 | $34 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?No | buy | 39.81 | $0.955 | $38 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 42.92 | $0.815 | $35 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 101.28 | $0.780 | $79 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.900 | $243 | Jul 13, 2026 |