Analytics
Defenseless-Placement has made $1.48K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 669.05 | $0.840 | $640.61 | +$78.61 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-08 22:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 01:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:59 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-08 22:39 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.66K and losing ones cost $6.58K across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $595.5 on “Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.34K on “Maduro out by January 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 502 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.24K across 149 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 634 |
| $0.840 |
| $618.47 |
| +$85.91 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 597.84 | $0.900 | $584.39 | +$46.31 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 571.02 | $0.902 | $549.6 | +$34.6 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 384.62 | $0.910 | $369.81 | +$19.81 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 343.55 | $0.815 | $336.68 | +$56.68 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 330.17 | $0.939 | $315.31 | +$5.31 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 322 | $0.750 | $301.07 | +$59.57 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 315.64 | $0.805 | $300.34 | +$46.23 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 296.16 | $0.780 | $285.65 | +$54.64 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 290.12 | $0.810 | $274.17 | +$39.17 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 288.92 | $0.870 | $273.03 | +$21.67 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 288.2 | $0.874 | $272.35 | +$20.56 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 285.53 | $0.760 | $269.82 | +$52.82 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 292.55 | $0.860 | $267.68 | +$16.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 282.93 | $0.820 | $265.95 | +$33.95 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 271.26 | $0.870 | $262.04 | +$26.04 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 329.26 | $0.768 | $261.76 | +$8.76 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 270 | $0.900 | $261.63 | +$18.63 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 268.5 | $0.821 | $260.04 | +$39.64 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 266.32 | $0.950 | $259.79 | +$6.79 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 308.54 | $0.820 | $254.54 | +$1.54 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 275 | $0.920 | $254.38 | +$1.38 |
 Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 292.26 | $0.860 | $253.97 | +$2.73 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 274.12 | $0.920 | $253.56 | +$1.37 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
