Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:43 AM UTC.
Analytics
Defenseless-Placement has made $1.48K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:43 AM UTC.
$250.89 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Oct 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 669.05 | $0.840 | $640.61 | +$78.61 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 13.22 | $0.756 | $10 | 19h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-08 22:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 08:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:43 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-08 22:39 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.66K and losing ones cost $6.58K across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $595.5 on “Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.34K on “Maduro out by January 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 502 markets. Its open positions are worth $25.26K across 149 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 634 |
| $0.840 |
| $618.47 |
| +$85.91 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 597.84 | $0.900 | $584.39 | +$46.31 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 571.02 | $0.902 | $549.6 | +$34.6 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 384.62 | $0.910 | $369.42 | +$19.42 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 343.55 | $0.815 | $336.68 | +$56.68 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 330.17 | $0.939 | $318.45 | +$8.45 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 315.64 | $0.805 | $301.6 | +$47.49 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 322 | $0.750 | $301.07 | +$59.57 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 296.16 | $0.780 | $285.35 | +$54.35 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 288.92 | $0.870 | $275.92 | +$24.56 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 290.12 | $0.810 | $274.17 | +$39.17 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 288.2 | $0.874 | $273.79 | +$22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 285.53 | $0.760 | $269.82 | +$52.82 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 292.55 | $0.860 | $266.22 | +$14.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 282.93 | $0.820 | $265.95 | +$33.95 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 271.26 | $0.870 | $262.18 | +$26.18 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 270 | $0.900 | $261.9 | +$18.9 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 266.32 | $0.950 | $260.86 | +$7.86 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 329.26 | $0.768 | $260.11 | +$7.11 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 268.5 | $0.821 | $260.04 | +$39.64 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 308.54 | $0.820 | $254.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 290.8 | $0.870 | $254.45 | +$1.45 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 275 | $0.920 | $254.38 | +$1.38 |
 Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 292.26 | $0.860 | $254.12 | +$2.88 |
| sell |
| 29.29 |
| $0.990 |
| $29 |
| 19h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | 2d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.777 | $67 | 2d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?No | sell | 89.45 | $0.990 | $88.56 | 2d ago |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?No | buy | 89.45 | $0.950 | $85 | 3d ago |
 Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 92.97 | $0.990 | $92.04 | 3d ago |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?No | buy | 119.28 | $0.822 | $98 | 3d ago |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 92.48 | $0.990 | $91.56 | 3d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.904 | $10.93 | 5d ago |
| Will Juwan Johnson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | buy | 58.78 | $0.950 | $55.86 | 6d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 290.8 | $0.870 | $253 | 6d ago |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.950 | $250 | 6d ago |
 Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?No | buy | 44.77 | $0.959 | $42.93 | 6d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 272.04 | $0.930 | $253 | 6d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No | buy | 266.32 | $0.950 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 218.58 | $0.780 | $170.49 | 6d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 289.14 | $0.875 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 287.5 | $0.880 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 277.02 | $0.910 | $252.09 | 6d ago |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 288.23 | $0.763 | $219.97 | 6d ago |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 294.19 | $0.860 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 284.27 | $0.890 | $253 | 6d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 292.55 | $0.860 | $251.59 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 254.93 | $0.850 | $216.69 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 276.71 | $0.870 | $240.74 | 6d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 272.04 | $0.930 | $253 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 288.92 | $0.870 | $251.36 | 6d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 318.79 | $0.787 | $250.89 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 288.2 | $0.874 | $251.79 | 6d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 284.27 | $0.890 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 277.02 | $0.910 | $252.09 | 6d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 310.73 | $0.808 | $251.07 | 6d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 275 | $0.920 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 317.71 | $0.790 | $250.89 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 277.02 | $0.910 | $252.09 | 6d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 329.26 | $0.768 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 277.02 | $0.910 | $252.09 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No | buy | 271.21 | $0.933 | $253 | 6d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 274.12 | $0.920 | $252.19 | 6d ago |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 323.81 | $0.773 | $250.24 | 6d ago |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 292.26 | $0.860 | $251.24 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 308.54 | $0.820 | $253 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 139.38 | $0.969 | $135 | 6d ago |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 60.12 | $0.340 | $20.44 | 6d ago |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | sell | 67.56 | $0.990 | $66.88 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No | sell | 70.81 | $0.990 | $70.1 | 14d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 231.09 | $0.990 | $228.78 | 14d ago |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 121.54 | $0.990 | $120.32 | 15d ago |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?No | sell | 263.04 | $0.990 | $260.41 | 22d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.