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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.146 | $60.38 | -$99.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansDetroit Tigers | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 308.07 |
| $0.211 |
| $44.67 |
| -$20.33 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 332.77 | $0.051 | $44.09 | +$27.09 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 206.67 | $0.092 | $38.96 | +$19.96 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 132.41 | $0.227 | $29.79 | -$0.21 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 209.33 | $0.234 | $28.26 | -$20.74 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 150.31 | $0.333 | $26.3 | -$23.7 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 51.79 | $0.483 | $26.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 642.76 | $0.160 | $24.75 | -$78.25 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 240.89 | $0.104 | $21.2 | -$3.8 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 549.53 | $0.091 | $21.16 | -$28.84 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $20.88 | +$10.88 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 812.5 | $0.016 | $15.44 | +$2.44 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 116.66 | $0.214 | $14.58 | -$10.42 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.012 | $13.75 | -$16.25 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.48 | $0.309 | $13.33 | -$1.67 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 636.36 | $0.110 | $10.5 | -$59.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 90.93 | $0.220 | $10.23 | -$9.77 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | Yes | 102.37 | $0.195 | $9.72 | -$10.28 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.550 | $9.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 143.74 | $0.209 | $9.34 | -$20.66 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 621.43 | $0.024 | $9.32 | -$5.68 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 67.86 | $0.295 | $8.82 | -$11.18 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 352.7 | $0.057 | $8.64 | -$11.36 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.060 | $8.63 | -$6.38 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | 2d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | 2d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | buy | 143.34 | $0.035 | $5 | 20d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 20d ago |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.89 | $0.076 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 253.6 | $0.020 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 27d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 24.67 | $0.405 | $10 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.125 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.223 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.260 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes | buy | 189.47 | $0.053 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Jul 13, 2026 |