Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 22 points from 27% when the market opened on 16 Nov 2025.
Across the 333 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3%; a month before, 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 54.5% on 19 May 2026.
$1.97K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $54.24K since listing. The order book holds $48.38K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 322 trades, $1.05K bought Yes and $12.24K bought No; the largest was a $3.55K sell of No at 96.7¢.
The largest Yes position is fledger with 2K shares; the largest No position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 2.4K. Ten wallets hold 76.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 333 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 27.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 2.35K |
| fledger | Yes | 1.96K |
| aviato | No | 1.09K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fetterman-out-before-2027
| PaddyAlpha |
| Yes |
| 708.4 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 498.72 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 400 |
| Jooble | Yes | 368.85 |
| Golden Vector 4A73 | No | 271 |
| Talophex | No | 250 |
| 3648393489047 | Yes | 229.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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