Latest trade
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:54 AM UTC.
WanderingImpulse is down $1.23K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:54 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 24, 2026 UTC to Oct 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.140 | $60.83 | -$104.17 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | 25d ago |
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Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 04:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 06:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-12 18:04 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.47K and losing ones cost $659.89 across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $221.11 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $50 on “U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?” (Yes).
It first traded on 24 Apr 2025 and most recently on 1 Oct 2026. It has traded 643 markets. Its open positions are worth $815.42 across 102 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 308.07 |
| $0.211 |
| $56.99 |
| -$8.01 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 621.43 | $0.024 | $48.47 | +$33.47 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 150.31 | $0.333 | $45.84 | -$4.16 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 332.77 | $0.051 | $43.43 | +$26.43 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 206.67 | $0.092 | $35.44 | +$16.45 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 642.76 | $0.160 | $27.32 | -$75.68 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 138.47 | $0.231 | $24.23 | -$7.77 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 812.5 | $0.016 | $22.34 | +$9.34 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.012 | $21.25 | -$8.75 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 51.79 | $0.483 | $20.61 | -$4.39 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 209.33 | $0.234 | $19.89 | -$29.11 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $19.12 | +$9.12 |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 240.89 | $0.104 | $15.66 | -$9.34 |
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 75.39 | $0.265 | $15.42 | -$4.58 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.48 | $0.309 | $12.36 | -$2.64 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 116.79 | $0.120 | $11.97 | -$2.03 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 549.53 | $0.091 | $10.72 | -$39.28 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.420 | $10.71 | -$4.29 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.012 | $9.62 | -$3.38 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 143.34 | $0.035 | $9.03 | +$4.03 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 90.93 | $0.220 | $8.82 | -$11.18 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.100 | $8.75 | -$16.25 |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $8.61 | -$1.39 |
Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 67.86 | $0.295 | $8.48 | -$11.52 |
| buy |
| 55.56 |
| $0.180 |
| $10 |
| 25d ago |
Trump renames AI by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | buy | 143.34 | $0.035 | $5 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.89 | $0.076 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 253.6 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 24.67 | $0.405 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.125 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.223 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.260 | $30 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.