Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, about where the market opened on 22 Jul 2025.
Across the 447 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.8% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.5%.
Hunter Biden ranks 26th of the 53 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Gavin Newsom leads at 16.4%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 16.2%.
$1.29K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $44.8M since listing. The order book holds $1.3M, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $79.93 bought Yes and $5.1K bought No.
The largest Yes position is GigaBrainConsulting2 with 680.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.15M. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 447 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 1.1% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.15M |
| GigaBrainConsulting2 | Yes | 680.24K |
| debased | Yes | 425.84K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
40 more outcomes, none above 1.5%.
| gloriafoster | Yes | 355.6K |
| expectless | No | 153.77K |
| Tony72 | Yes | 149.91K |
| 00008888 | Yes | 141.92K |
| melganis | Yes | 134.45K |
| Vingtoft | Yes | 131.47K |
| Near-Pumpkin | Yes | 93.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
