Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 999.99 | $0.846 | $924.99 | +$79 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.76 | $0.940 | $43.95 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.02K |
| $0.506 |
| $880.44 |
| +$364.8 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.06K | $0.578 | $827.86 | +$214.63 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.1K | $0.008 | $710.48 | -$399.43 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.823 | $694.05 | +$118.05 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 684 | $0.249 | $530.1 | +$359.76 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 541.1 | $0.639 | $408.53 | +$62.89 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.897 | $399.6 | +$40.8 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.865 | $389.4 | +$43.4 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.720 | $382 | +$94 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.870 | $378 | +$30 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 400.01 | $0.810 | $374.01 | +$50 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.810 | $374 | +$50 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.750 | $374 | +$74 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 373.85 | $0.691 | $323.38 | +$65.16 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.625 | $313.99 | +$64 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.747 | $283.5 | +$59.5 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.673 | $271.49 | +$69.5 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 300 | $0.713 | $268.5 | +$54.5 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 400 | $0.852 | $268 | -$72.8 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1.97K | $0.447 | $265.5 | -$613.13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.413 | $235.49 | +$111.49 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6K | $0.049 | $219 | -$76.98 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 202.82 | $0.910 | $201.5 | +$16.94 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.963 | $199.9 | +$7.3 |
| sell |
| 300 |
| $0.998 |
| $299.4 |
| 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.04K | $0.005 | $40.19 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.57 | $0.790 | $20.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 44.96 | $0.779 | $35.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 188.51 | $0.990 | $186.62 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 127.22 | $0.984 | $125.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | sell | 77.4 | $0.181 | $14.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 49.64 | $0.990 | $49.12 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will "Moana" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 197.41 | $0.952 | $188.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will "Moana" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 190.17 | $0.641 | $121.91 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 200 | $0.991 | $198.12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.966 | $144.9 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.47K | $0.002 | $6.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.005 | $20.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 213.89 | $0.009 | $1.93 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.989 | $44.51 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.989 | $44.51 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.338 | $135.38 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 268.34 | $0.620 | $166.37 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.001 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 986.12 | $0.002 | $2.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.315 | $31.51 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.585 | $175.57 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 310.9 | $0.605 | $187.99 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 310.91 | $0.617 | $191.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.876 | $875.91 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.34 | $0.827 | $51.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 227.91 | $0.650 | $148.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.578 | $231.07 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 611.04 | $0.719 | $439.36 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | sell | 200.02 | $0.122 | $24.36 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.695 | $54.22 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 2K | $0.095 | $190 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1K | $0.079 | $78.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1K | $0.079 | $79 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 200 | $0.096 | $19.14 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 97.93 | $0.910 | $89.12 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.966 | $6.43 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $348 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 438.68 | $0.002 | $0.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |