Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 4K | $0.800 | $2.98K | -$220 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Google | buy | 927.35 | $0.727 | $674.49 | 14d ago |
|
| No |
| 2.07K |
| $0.901 |
| $1.92K |
| +$55 |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | 1.36K | $0.723 | $1.04K | +$56.81 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? | No | 978.41 | $0.926 | $937.81 | +$31.99 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? | No | 846 | $0.895 | $812.16 | +$55.16 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 392.12 | $0.800 | $321.54 | +$7.84 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 396.27 | $0.800 | $289.28 | -$27.74 |
 Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | Lockheed Martin | 282 | $0.600 | $80.37 | -$88.83 |
| buy |
| 194.5 |
| $0.720 |
| $140.04 |
| 16d ago |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Google | buy | 238.58 | $0.710 | $169.39 | 16d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?No | buy | 846 | $0.895 | $757 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?No | buy | 970.28 | $0.926 | $898.25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No | buy | 70.43 | $0.927 | $65.32 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.678 | $1.02K | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.160 | $240 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Lockheed Martin | buy | 282 | $0.600 | $169.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.156 | $468 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1K | $0.654 | $654 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 355.59 | $0.988 | $351.32 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.977 | $2.15K | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 39.34K | $0.982 | $38.64K | May 27, 2026 |
 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | sell | 338.57 | $0.979 | $331.46 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 35K | $0.996 | $34.86K | Apr 27, 2026 |
| 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 333.12 | $0.987 | $328.78 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.150 | $209.43 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.171 | $209.77 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.130 | $194.65 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 1.44K | $0.864 | $1.24K | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 5.72K | $0.984 | $5.63K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.980 | $1.55K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.980 | $1.03K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 860.1 | $0.983 | $845.75 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 515.3 | $0.980 | $504.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 349.3 | $0.982 | $342.9 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Yes | sell | 555.54 | $0.207 | $115.08 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.300 | $418.94 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Yes | buy | 795.7 | $0.290 | $230.75 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 156.72 | $0.999 | $156.56 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 693.26 | $0.981 | $679.99 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.350 | $363.85 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.13K | $0.340 | $2.08K | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?No | buy | 654.41 | $0.992 | $648.9 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.995 | $1.97K | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.989 | $1.04K | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?No | buy | 862.64 | $0.972 | $838.87 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | buy | 297.57 | $0.750 | $223.18 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion in 2025?No | buy | 338.86 | $0.982 | $332.78 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.950 | $1.05K | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?No | buy | 408.98 | $0.940 | $384.44 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 6.35K | $0.990 | $6.29K | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.989 | $1.64K | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 114.16 | $0.988 | $112.79 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | buy | 68.68 | $0.987 | $67.79 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 473.08 | $0.620 | $293.31 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.923 | $92.32 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 126 | $0.802 | $101.06 | Sep 12, 2025 |