Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 351.15 | $0.792 | $296.72 | +$18.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 270 |
| $0.971 |
| $266.76 |
| +$4.48 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 218.75 | $0.686 | $184.84 | +$34.86 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 166.29 | $0.771 | $128.05 | -$0.2 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 485.58 | $0.633 | $126.25 | -$181.34 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? | No | 117.49 | $0.943 | $115.49 | +$4.66 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 128.88 | $0.720 | $111.48 | +$18.74 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | No | 80 | $0.910 | $73.8 | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 77.73 | $0.662 | $71.13 | +$19.69 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 60 | $0.797 | $58.65 | +$10.85 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 61.42 | $0.868 | $55.28 | +$1.95 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 63.33 | $0.709 | $55.1 | +$10.17 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 74.95 | $0.711 | $52.46 | -$0.85 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 60 | $0.748 | $47.4 | +$2.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 50.73 | $0.782 | $44.82 | +$5.15 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.910 | $39.34 | +$2.94 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.840 | $38.44 | +$4.84 |
 Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 39.91 | $0.801 | $36.52 | +$4.54 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51 | $0.844 | $32.69 | -$10.35 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 35.57 | $0.815 | $31.12 | +$2.12 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 30 | $0.930 | $29.28 | +$1.38 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.930 | $29.07 | +$1.17 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 31.41 | $0.853 | $28.9 | +$2.1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.14 | $0.890 | $28.8 | +$1.1 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.840 | $27.75 | +$2.55 |
| sell |
| 60 |
| $0.999 |
| $59.94 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.940 | $11.05 | 28d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.968 | $16.13 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 28d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | 29d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.840 | $3.36 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.838 | $25.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 6.88 | $0.680 | $4.68 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.983 | $49.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.981 | $49.05 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.918 | $9.18 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No | sell | 29 | $0.950 | $27.55 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.35 | $0.957 | $30 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.938 | $18.76 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No | sell | 22.5 | $0.950 | $21.38 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 21.44 | $0.933 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.982 | $9.53 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.840 | $1.55 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.710 | $21.29 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.929 | $18.58 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 38.99 | $0.770 | $30.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.780 | $31.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 105 | $0.978 | $102.69 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.965 | $17.76 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.922 | $27.66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.966 | $8.98 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 21.48 | $0.900 | $19.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.900 | $26.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.99 | $0.940 | $75.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.450 | $2.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.957 | $28.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |