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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.340 | $2.28 | -$2.72 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.064 | $1.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 99.99 |
| $0.047 |
| $1.95 |
| -$2.73 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.260 | $1.15 | -$1.45 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.086 | $1.13 | -$1.45 |
 Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.145 | $1.1 | -$1.8 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.220 | $0.73 | -$1.47 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $0.7 | -$0.81 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.54 | -$0.47 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.053 | $0.51 | -$0.55 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $0.45 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.112 |
| $1.12 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Starmer officially leave office by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.016 | $0.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.046 | $3.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.262 | $2.62 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 100.7 | $0.010 | $1.02 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.069 | $1.1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 14.72 | $0.061 | $0.9 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.234 | $7.03 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 24.52 | $0.025 | $0.61 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.053 | $1.06 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.021 | $0.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.036 | $1.09 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.75 | $0.021 | $0.62 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Venezuela ParlayYes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.049 | $0.98 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 67.9 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 155.03 | $0.002 | $0.31 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 46.35 | $0.004 | $0.19 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 55.05 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes | buy | 55.05 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 9, 2025 |