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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 765.09 | $0.946 | $755.15 | +$31.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 679.17 |
| $0.816 |
| $668.64 |
| +$114.66 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 554.74 | $0.837 | $535.6 | +$71.03 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 522.01 | $0.883 | $496.43 | +$35.43 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 436.41 | $0.890 | $410.22 | +$21.87 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 349.99 | $0.590 | $131.94 | -$74.6 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $99.35 | +$13.35 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.820 | $99.2 | +$17.2 |
 Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | Yes | 64 | $0.970 | $61.73 | -$0.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 50.98 | $0.709 | $43.08 | +$6.91 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 45.57 | $0.630 | $35.77 | +$7.08 |
 Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 31.25 | $0.844 | $28.35 | +$1.98 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $17.7 | +$4.3 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 22.67 | $0.662 | $15.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 9.99 | $0.460 | $7.9 | +$3.3 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 6.3 | $0.960 | $6.25 | +$0.2 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.086 | $5.96 | +$5.36 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 5.55 | $0.724 | $5.53 | +$1.51 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 5.31 | $0.887 | $5.15 | +$0.44 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 45.5 | $0.371 | $1.82 | -$15.05 |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 8 | $0.280 | $1.68 | -$0.56 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 3.14 | $0.761 | $0.75 | -$1.64 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 28.45 | $0.089 | $0.61 | -$1.93 |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | No | 10 | $0.500 | $0.36 | -$4.65 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.166 | $0.07 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $10 |
| 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.980 | $122.51 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.580 | $31.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsNo | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsYes | buy | 64 | $0.970 | $62.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.680 | $26.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No | sell | 593.7 | $0.003 | $1.78 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No | sell | 7.77 | $0.057 | $0.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 255 | $0.120 | $30.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.007 | $7.49 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 150 | $0.983 | $147.45 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.360 | $2.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No | buy | 28.76 | $0.920 | $26.46 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No | buy | 19.16 | $0.660 | $12.65 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.890 | $10.15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 453.27 | $0.019 | $8.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 185.61 | $0.650 | $120.65 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.630 | $23.31 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.444 | $4.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.463 | $4.63 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 87.77 | $0.955 | $83.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.009 | $0.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 11.3 | $0.320 | $3.62 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.857 | $16.28 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | Jun 12, 2026 |