Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.020 | $90.5 | +$88.5 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.895 | $89.46 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.070 |
| $51 |
| +$37 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $49.5 | +$48.5 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $47.5 | +$45.5 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.020 | $25.5 | +$23.5 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.200 | $16.1 | -$23.9 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $14 | +$9 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.005 | $6.75 | +$6.25 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $6.2 | +$5.2 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $4.95 | +$3.95 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $3.6 | +$1.6 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.003 | $3.35 | +$3.05 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.005 | $3.35 | +$2.85 |
 Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $3.1 | +$2.1 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $2.35 | +$0.35 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
 Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.003 | $1.3 | +$1 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.005 | $1.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.002 | $0.75 | +$0.55 |
| Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 100 | $0.002 | $0.45 | +$0.25 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.763 |
| $76.27 |
| 24d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23?No | sell | 90 | $0.058 | $5.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.172 | $17.24 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.175 | $17.46 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on April 7?No | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 7?No | buy | 751.99 | $0.001 | $0.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 65.29 | $0.150 | $9.81 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.455 | $45.51 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.358 | $35.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.400 | $5.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 1?No | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?No | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 1?No | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 1?No | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 27?No | buy | 50.06 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on March 27?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on March 27?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 27?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 27?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on March 27?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?No | buy | 956.4 | $0.001 | $0.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $39.96 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?No | buy | 264.62 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 23?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 24?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.125 | $12.48 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 23?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.128 | $12.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.161 | $16.09 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 22?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or below on March 22?No | buy | 381.59 | $0.001 | $0.38 | Mar 22, 2026 |