What is the “Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 0.5¢ and No at 99.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.5% for Yes and 99.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($20) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($27.79K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 185 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 81.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 15, 2:29 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-arc-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-arc-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026Updated just now

Active

Closes Oct 1, 2026

Yes

0.5%

99.5%

Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

24h Volume

$20

Liquidity

$27.8K

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Yes price

0.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

0.5%

99.5%

24h volume

$20

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 0.5¢

Open in terminal$20 24h vol

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

6m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.4%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

185

Wallets

185

Top 10 share

81%

Yes / No shares

61.33K / 61.33K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

158

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
qmarktea2	No	53.72K	96.2%	$57.96K	Sep 13, 11:31 PM
hitjnn214	Yes	14K	23.9%	$14K

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 0.5¢ and No at 99.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.5% for Yes and 99.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($20) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($27.79K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
qmarktea2	$53.45K
zzaqq2	$1.34K
Flamboyant-Warming	$1.01K
zoro12123123	$731.36
Daring-Mineshaft	$682.9
Serene-Decision	$518.93
gndndaa	$298.5
DrNee	$274.86
huntermax1224	$178.21
notcookie	$157.21
Elias.Thornwell	$151.35
UntitledUser1	$149.25