Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 9.55 | $0.939 | $9.02 | +$0.06 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | 14h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.3 |
| $0.959 |
| $7.09 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 6.54 | $0.977 | $6.47 | +$0.08 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 6.29 | $0.953 | $6.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.54 | $0.934 | $5.34 | +$0.16 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.94 | $0.971 | $3.91 | +$0.09 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.57 | $0.888 | $2.43 | +$0.15 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 2.14 | $0.935 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Pacquiao | 4 | $0.500 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 3.16 | $0.633 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | No | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | +$0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | No | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | -$0 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1 |
| 14h ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.990 | $1.57 | 15h ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.996 | $0.65 | 16h ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.940 | $0.17 | 4d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.940 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Pacquiao | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.966 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.965 | $0.98 | 19d ago |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.940 | $0.58 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.940 | $0.02 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.940 | $1.69 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.940 | $0.02 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.940 | $0.06 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.940 | $0.03 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.940 | $0.08 | 23d ago |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 0.63 | $0.971 | $0.61 | 23d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.940 | $0.03 | 23d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.940 | $0.11 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.950 | $2.13 | 28d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.940 | $0.09 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.940 | $0.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.940 | $0.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |