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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 313.58 | $0.547 | $145.81 | -$25.83 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.580 | $19.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 34 |
| $0.350 |
| $31.96 |
| +$20.06 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | Yes | 65 | $0.520 | $0.68 | -$33.12 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 59 | $0.118 | $0.62 | -$6.32 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 4.94 | $0.430 | $0.27 | -$1.85 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 3 | $0.890 | $0.21 | -$2.46 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 4 | $0.012 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 34 |
| $0.410 |
| $13.94 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the Calgary Flames win the Pacific Division?No | sell | 29 | $0.952 | $27.61 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.060 | $0.96 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 386 | $0.540 | $208.44 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 386 | $0.450 | $173.7 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 541 | $0.480 | $259.68 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | sell | 397 | $0.770 | $305.69 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | buy | 397 | $0.790 | $313.63 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 551 | $0.610 | $336.11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | sell | 842 | $0.150 | $126.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | sell | 571 | $0.780 | $445.38 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | buy | 571 | $0.790 | $451.09 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 842 | $0.200 | $168.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 188 | $0.290 | $54.52 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.350 | $11.9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 299 | $0.530 | $158.47 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | sell | 244 | $0.740 | $180.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 244 | $0.740 | $180.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | sell | 374 | $0.630 | $235.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | buy | 318 | $0.650 | $206.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 270.58 | $0.560 | $151.52 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | buy | 56 | $0.650 | $36.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 463 | $0.540 | $250.02 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No | sell | 466 | $0.710 | $330.86 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | sell | 559 | $0.190 | $106.21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No | buy | 466 | $0.750 | $349.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No | sell | 903 | $0.170 | $153.51 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?No | buy | 903 | $0.170 | $153.51 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027?No | sell | 233 | $0.600 | $139.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | sell | 246 | $0.180 | $44.28 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 235 | $0.430 | $101.05 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No | buy | 571 | $0.180 | $102.78 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | sell | 261 | $0.770 | $200.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | sell | 840 | $0.082 | $68.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?No | sell | 255 | $0.810 | $206.55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.580 | $7.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 413 | $0.183 | $75.58 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 261 | $0.770 | $200.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?No | buy | 255 | $0.820 | $209.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 427 | $0.194 | $82.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | buy | 246 | $0.170 | $41.82 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 235 | $0.440 | $103.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 299 | $0.530 | $158.47 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 359 | $0.750 | $269.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 261 | $0.750 | $195.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 820 | $0.520 | $426.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 847 | $0.520 | $440.44 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | buy | 620 | $0.770 | $477.4 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 53 | $0.760 | $40.28 | Jan 9, 2026 |