Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 150 | $0.080 | $86.25 | +$74.25 |
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 139.53 | $0.860 | $120 | 16d ago |
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| Yes |
| 207.2 |
| $0.453 |
| $81.84 |
| -$11.97 |
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 60 | $0.260 | $49.5 | +$33.9 |
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 150 | $0.420 | $34.5 | -$28.5 |
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 198.79 | $0.235 | $32.4 | -$14.4 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.150 | $21 | -$9 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 121.43 | $0.568 | $17.61 | -$51.39 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.450 | $17 | -$73 |
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 109.19 | $0.366 | $14.74 | -$25.26 |
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.220 | $13 | -$31 |
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.560 | $7.16 | -$5.57 |
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $6.75 | -$36.25 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $6.15 | -$21.85 |
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $5.5 | -$30.5 |
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $4.75 | -$23.25 |
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.430 | $4.65 | -$8.25 |
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.330 | $3.13 | -$1.79 |
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 90 | $0.060 | $2.16 | -$3.24 |
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 5.38 | $0.070 | $2.12 | +$1.75 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.240 | $1.25 | -$22.75 |
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.070 | $1.05 | +$0.35 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.004 | $0.75 | -$1.25 |
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.320 | $0.67 | -$29.77 |
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $0.55 | -$24.45 |
| buy |
| 103.33 |
| $0.726 |
| $75 |
| 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ETDown | buy | 110.77 | $0.650 | $72 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ETDown | buy | 97.3 | $0.740 | $72 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ETUp | buy | 62.3 | $0.610 | $38 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ETUp | buy | 98.42 | $0.630 | $62 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ETUp | buy | 62.69 | $0.670 | $42 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.660 | $11 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 25.71 | $0.700 | $18 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 20.34 | $0.590 | $12 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12AM ETUp | sell | 122.44 | $0.480 | $58.77 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12AM ETUp | buy | 122.45 | $0.490 | $60 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 50.52 | $0.792 | $40 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | sell | 191.5 | $0.603 | $115.55 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 191.51 | $0.522 | $100 | 17d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | 18d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 19d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 19d ago |
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.035 | $7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.130 | $15.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 180.31 | $0.040 | $7.21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?No | buy | 110 | $0.060 | $6.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.260 | $26.52 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.190 | $33.82 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 26.72 | $0.150 | $4.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 557.05 | $0.002 | $1.11 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.016 | $2.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.035 | $5.25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.296 | $148 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.356 | $178 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.072 | $9.36 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 130 | $0.070 | $9.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 191.14 | $0.050 | $9.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jun 20, 2026 |