Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 25 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $796.79K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| autisem | Yes | 3.33K |
| duref | Yes | 2.35K |
| ManAreBrave | Yes | 1.39K |
| Spirit-LT | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by
| notalkletsplay | Yes | 1K |
| Experienced-Healthcare | Yes | 907.67 |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 718.32 |
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 600 |
| Atti57 | Yes | 588.24 |
| KakiBatusik | Yes | 563.45 |
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