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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 471.92 | $0.351 | $162.81 | -$2.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 36.1 | $0.290 | $10.47 | 20h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 565.61 |
| $0.237 |
| $161.2 |
| +$27.23 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 502.52 | $0.285 | $140.7 | -$2.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.072 | $129.07 | -$15.08 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.089 | $113.43 | +$16.73 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 504.99 | $0.180 | $68.17 | -$22.92 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 360.19 | $0.131 | $40.88 | -$6.45 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 280 | $0.090 | $37.8 | +$12.6 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 296.21 | $0.142 | $37.03 | -$5.17 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5? | Yes | 67.51 | $0.401 | $35.44 | +$8.37 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 136.97 | $0.247 | $34.93 | +$1.06 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 93.75 | $0.320 | $28.13 | -$1.88 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 177.45 | $0.168 | $25.73 | -$4.05 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 385.71 | $0.080 | $25.07 | -$5.93 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.015 | $23.94 | -$14.58 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 143.74 | $0.193 | $23 | -$4.72 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.32 | $0.212 | $22.05 | +$10.96 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 250 | $0.100 | $21.25 | -$3.75 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 365.24 | $0.134 | $20.09 | -$28.7 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28? | Yes | 39.94 | $0.751 | $19.77 | -$10.23 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | Yes | 74.77 | $0.334 | $19.44 | -$5.56 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? | Yes | 141.54 | $0.117 | $15.92 | -$0.64 |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 549.08 | $0.069 | $15.92 | -$21.82 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | Yes | 128.13 | $0.156 | $14.09 | -$5.91 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27? | Yes | 25.32 | $0.790 | $13.67 | -$6.33 |
| buy |
| 243.9 |
| $0.041 |
| $10 |
| 21h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.959 | $2.33 | 21h ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | 21h ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 254.96 | $0.039 | $10 | 21h ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | 21h ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.47 | $0.460 | $20 | 21h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | 21h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.340 | $40 | 23h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.822 | $41.08 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes | buy | 74.77 | $0.334 | $25 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes | buy | 128.13 | $0.156 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28?Yes | buy | 39.94 | $0.751 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 2d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.288 | $11.54 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 43.78 | $0.380 | $16.64 | 3d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 106.18 | $0.310 | $32.92 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.12 | $0.720 | $5.85 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.271 | $5.42 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 31.63 | $0.650 | $20.56 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 14.07 | $0.570 | $8.02 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.414 | $31.07 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 4d ago |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | 4d ago |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.36 | $0.129 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.64 | $0.165 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.12 | $0.065 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.115 | $11.04 | 5d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 720 | $0.011 | $7.92 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.21 | $0.131 | $10 | 6d ago |