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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 3.36K | $0.134 | $218.63 | -$232.22 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5.8K |
| $0.026 |
| $176.92 |
| +$27.12 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.066 | $77 | -$15.69 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.067 | $50.38 | -$220.12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.012 | $8.51 | -$7.58 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.001 | $5.44 | +$4.23 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.001 | $3.18 | +$1.91 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 753.22 | $0.001 | $0.38 | -$0.49 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 536.07 | $0.001 | $0.27 | -$0.44 |
| buy |
| 535.74 |
| $0.060 |
| $32.14 |
| 3d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 760 | $0.023 | $17.48 | 14d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.037 | $18.5 | 14d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.035 | $10.85 | 22d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.020 | $9 | 28d ago |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.61 | $0.010 | $0.11 | 29d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 586.93 | $0.001 | $0.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 280.99 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.044 | $2.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 581 | $0.150 | $87.15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 205.1 | $0.140 | $28.71 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.130 | $334.62 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.070 | $234.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 138.63 | $0.006 | $0.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 32.29 | $0.010 | $0.32 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 46.69 | $0.015 | $0.7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 65.07 | $0.014 | $0.91 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.081 | $9.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 124.51 | $0.016 | $2.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.025 | $0.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.61 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.001 | $1.51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.001 | $2.06 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 102.45 | $0.008 | $0.83 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 103.51 | $0.002 | $0.21 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 180.41 | $0.018 | $3.18 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 106.65 | $0.015 | $1.58 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.39 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 140.69 | $0.016 | $2.26 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 329.38 | $0.001 | $0.33 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.001 | $1.27 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 18.87 | $0.265 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.016 | $0.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.002 | $2.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 429.78 | $0.018 | $7.71 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.015 | $4.73 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 437.19 | $0.012 | $5.03 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 319.22 | $0.002 | $0.64 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.024 | $1.08 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.170 | $85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 323 | $0.326 | $105.3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.060 | $0.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |