Resolved No on 24 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 26% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 24 Sep 2026, the highest close was 26% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 6% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 6% on 24 Sep 2026. $14.32K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 24 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Martys | Yes | 807.89 |
| Shahram.t | Yes | 241.36 |
| Cool-Familiar | Yes | 222.83 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 209.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during the State Arrival Ceremony honoring President Xi Jinping of the People's Republic of China on September 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during Xi Jinping's State Arrival Ceremony on September 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-remarks-at-xi-jinpings-state-arrival
| duref | Yes | 200 |
| Rdl | Yes | 149.87 |
| Healthy-Raincoat | Yes | 131.58 |
| Wiry-Separation | Yes | 128.24 |
| eimtse | Yes | 100 |
| ScienceDog | Yes | 100 |
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