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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 151.24 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.76 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 889.42 | $0.031 | $27.57 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.038 | $114 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.015 | $1.98 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.017 | $0.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.019 | $38 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.057 | $57 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.042 | $23.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | buy | 450.13 | $0.041 | $18.46 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.092 | $138 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 245.65 | $0.024 | $5.9 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?Yes | buy | 153.99 | $0.009 | $1.32 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.570 | $85.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.980 | $588 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 510.06 | $0.043 | $21.79 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 212 | $0.053 | $11.24 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 638.01 | $0.060 | $38.28 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 97.42 | $0.080 | $7.79 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 626.1 | $0.053 | $33.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.163 | $40.75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Yes | buy | 360.66 | $0.014 | $4.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.077 | $19.24 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.380 | $88.16 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.171 | $256.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.610 | $152.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.16K | $0.014 | $30.24 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 207.85 | $0.074 | $15.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.170 | $42.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.993 | $1.34K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 45.7 | $0.995 | $45.47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.076 | $15.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 680.45 | $0.075 | $51.03 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.224 | $111.89 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.244 | $61 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.094 | $47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 600.97 | $0.914 | $549.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.014 | $7.56 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $149.82 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 812.34 | $0.126 | $102.65 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.036 | $35.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 146.57 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.012 | $9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.012 | $3.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 401 | $0.010 | $4.01 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.012 | $2.64 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 433.97 | $0.012 | $5.21 | Feb 10, 2026 |