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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 379.69 | $0.417 | $317.04 | +$158.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.24 | $0.089 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 125 |
| $0.320 |
| $100.63 |
| +$60.63 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 2.75K | $0.036 | $97.54 | -$2.46 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.048 | $67.81 | +$17.81 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.012 | $29.75 | -$12.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 521.15 | $0.125 | $20.06 | -$44.94 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.54K | $0.012 | $19.02 | -$10.95 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 786.67 | $0.052 | $17.7 | -$23.3 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.55K | $0.011 | $11.36 | -$38.64 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 789.47 | $0.019 | $10.66 | -$4.34 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $8.12 | +$3.12 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.120 | $7.87 | +$0.87 |
 Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.29K | $0.007 | $7.14 | -$92.86 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.017 | $6.47 | -$13.53 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $6.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 185.19 | $0.027 | $4.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 2.15K | $0.023 | $4.3 | -$45.7 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.5K | $0.008 | $3.75 | -$56.25 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.007 | $3.57 | -$1.43 |
 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.009 | $1.67 | -$8.33 |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.020 | $1.5 | -$18.5 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.86K | $0.007 | $1.43 | -$18.57 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| buy |
| 220 |
| $0.050 |
| $11 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 309.89 | $0.450 | $139.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 648.48 | $0.062 | $40 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.320 | $40 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 77.32 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.120 | $7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 20.3 | $0.049 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Yes | buy | 50.13 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 38.77 | $0.258 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.290 | $9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?Yes | buy | 292.8 | $0.017 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?Yes | buy | 282.69 | $0.018 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?Yes | buy | 686.42 | $0.015 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 80.7 | $0.570 | $46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 255.81 | $0.043 | $11 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 544.86 | $0.037 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes | buy | 285.99 | $0.035 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes | buy | 303.47 | $0.033 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 9K | $0.002 | $18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.010 | $6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 545.45 | $0.011 | $6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.011 | $11 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 535.71 | $0.028 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.005 | $12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 18.69K | $0.001 | $18.69 | May 20, 2026 |