Analytics
ManAreBrave is down $12.45K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 17.97K | $0.186 | $1.53K | -$1.82K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 04:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
35 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 17:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 17:54 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 04:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.37K and losing ones cost $10.8K across 48 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.09K on “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?” (No); the largest loss, $2.69K on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?” (No).
It has traded 109 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.3K across 35 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.04K |
| $0.141 |
| $192.52 |
| +$45.38 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | Yes | 6.25K | $0.058 | $146.84 | -$215.15 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.69K | $0.016 | $121.65 | -$18.34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | Yes | 22.68K | $0.022 | $90.73 | -$410.26 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 5.57K | $0.018 | $47.33 | -$52.67 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.030 | $37.69 | -$12.31 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.076 | $17.55 | -$50.85 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.009 | $17.46 | +$2.46 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 781 | $0.131 | $14.84 | -$87.16 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 369.35 | $0.054 | $13.48 | -$6.52 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 105 | $0.143 | $13.02 | -$1.98 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | Yes | 1.74K | $0.058 | $11.34 | -$89.66 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $9.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 340.32 | $0.044 | $8.85 | -$6.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.033 | $7.37 | -$33.63 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $2.79 | -$2.21 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 69.34 | $0.170 | $2.01 | -$9.78 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 11.11 | $0.450 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.82 | $0.059 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
