Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
ManAreBrave is down $12.45K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:00 PM UTC.
$13.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Sep 28, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 17.97K | $0.186 | $1.35K | -$2K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99K | $0.012 | $60 | 4d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 04:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
35 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 22:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 22:00 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 04:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.37K and losing ones cost $10.8K across 48 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.09K on “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?” (No); the largest loss, $2.69K on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 109 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.13K across 35 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.04K |
| $0.141 |
| $202.92 |
| +$55.79 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | Yes | 6.25K | $0.058 | $153.08 | -$208.91 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.69K | $0.016 | $121.65 | -$18.34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | Yes | 22.68K | $0.022 | $79.38 | -$421.6 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 5.57K | $0.018 | $44.54 | -$55.46 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.030 | $37.69 | -$12.31 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.009 | $23.57 | +$8.57 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.076 | $17.1 | -$51.3 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 781 | $0.131 | $14.84 | -$87.16 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | Yes | 1.74K | $0.058 | $13.96 | -$87.04 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 369.35 | $0.054 | $13.48 | -$6.52 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 105 | $0.143 | $13.02 | -$1.98 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $9.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 340.32 | $0.044 | $8.85 | -$6.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.033 | $7.37 | -$33.63 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.070 | $2.71 | -$2.29 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | Yes | 69.34 | $0.170 | $1.94 | -$9.85 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.82 | $0.059 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 11.11 | $0.450 | $1.28 | -$3.72 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes| buy |
| 1.71K |
| $0.008 |
| $14 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.020 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.011 | $20.68 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.051 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.025 | $30 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.026 | $40.24 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No | sell | 3.48K | $0.036 | $125.15 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.058 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.57K | $0.018 | $100 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.200 | $300 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.043 | $160 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 7.18K | $0.181 | $1.3K | 24d ago |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.82 | $0.059 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.108 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 7.89K | $0.203 | $1.6K | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 838.43 | $0.167 | $140 | 27d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 5.32K | $0.027 | $141.9 | 27d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.011 | $1.38 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Yes | sell | 897.57 | $0.001 | $0.9 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.003 | $6.01 | 27d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.39K | $0.006 | $20.9 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.033 | $40 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.058 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.080 | $200 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Yes | buy | 22.59K | $0.022 | $500 | 28d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?Yes | buy | 251.41 | $0.020 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?Yes | buy | 50.42 | $0.060 | $3 | 28d ago |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August?Yes | buy | 562.31 | $0.018 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?Yes | buy | 559.64 | $0.054 | $30 | 28d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% or more in August?Yes | buy | 86.72 | $0.012 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.033 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.056 | $2.24 | 28d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Yes | sell | 8.67K | $0.002 | $13.75 | 28d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 31.27K | $0.001 | $31.27 | 28d ago |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.83K | $0.001 | $10.21 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.150 | $300 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 24.23K | $0.013 | $303.65 | 28d ago |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | 28d ago |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | 28d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.