Analytics
Yes is at 1.5%, down 49 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 275 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 1.8%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 21.5% on 30 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$31.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $20.6K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 418 trades, $259.86 bought Yes and $9.56K bought No; the largest was a $1.29K buy of No at 94.6¢.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 790 shares; the largest No position is HandlePressure with 952. Ten wallets hold 69.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 275 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HandlePressure | No | 952.21 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 789.94 |
| twe2nty | No | 778.52 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 575.55 |
| leiE | No | 509.52 |
| sladky | No | 500 |
| GGG2024 | Yes | 400 |
| defourailleur2keh | No | 380.47 |
| rajugg | Yes | 300 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 220.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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