Analytics
Yes is at 4.2%, down 45 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 8 Jul 2026.
Across the 111 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.4%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 26.5% on 14 Jul 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$117 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.72K since listing. The order book holds $23.55K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 124 trades, $131.03 bought Yes and $2.75K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Solar Lynx EC36 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is twe2nty with 976. Ten wallets hold 92.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Lynx EC36 | Yes | 1.14K |
| twe2nty | No | 975.79 |
| gmx1 | No | 916.09 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| donmaximi |
| No |
| 569.64 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 454.98 |
| EthanDeFi | No | 349.72 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 316.82 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 218 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 189.72 |
| fengpiaopiao | Yes | 161.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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