Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, down 52 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 26 Nov 2025.
Across the 307 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 1.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 29.5% on 27 Nov 2025.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$7 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $22.21K since listing. The order book holds $27.81K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 355 trades, $1.31K bought Yes and $4.43K bought No; the largest was a $1.04K buy of No at 96.2¢.
The largest Yes position is 50cents with 513 shares; the largest No position is twe2nty with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 63.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 307 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 54.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| twe2nty | No | 1.09K |
| redpanda135 | No | 850.97 |
| qoxldtls | No | 554.78 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| 50cents |
| Yes |
| 513.31 |
| OkaneKasegu | Yes | 500 |
| btcabal | No | 300 |
| happyiguana | Yes | 282.18 |
| 25usdcVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 235.49 |
| Anjun | No | 222 |
| fmntour | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
