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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.056 | $9.28K | +$8.73K |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.495 | $494.61 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.600 |
| $1.85K |
| +$650 |
 Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 3K | $0.070 | $94.5 | -$115.5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.170 | $49.5 | -$460.5 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 235.49 | $0.150 | $9.07 | -$26.26 |
| buy |
| 272.9 |
| $0.380 |
| $103.7 |
| Feb 7, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | buy | 49.81 | $0.140 | $6.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.800 | $2.9 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.110 | $2.75 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.510 | $0.06 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Yes | buy | 973.82 | $0.115 | $112.12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | sell | 4K | $0.993 | $3.97K | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?No | buy | 466 | $0.593 | $276.34 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?No | buy | 34.23 | $0.560 | $19.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 645.26 | $0.509 | $328.58 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.430 | $430 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.306 | $611.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 3K | $0.322 | $965.46 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?Yes | buy | 575.05 | $0.486 | $279.57 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.215 | $273.09 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 97 | $0.860 | $83.42 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.847 | $847 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 58.13 | $0.737 | $42.86 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | sell | 966.35 | $0.420 | $405.87 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.651 | $1.04K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.269 | $460.58 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.598 | $239.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.06K | $0.002 | $10.13 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 518.99 | $0.330 | $171.03 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 87 | $0.320 | $27.84 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 912.08 | $0.692 | $631.32 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.704 | $704.34 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | buy | 107.74 | $0.200 | $21.55 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.449 | $41.76 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.340 | $363.04 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.855 | $855.19 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?No | buy | 13 | $0.210 | $2.73 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 50.91 | $0.300 | $15.27 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | sell | 271.92 | $0.721 | $196.01 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.958 | $191.67 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 150.42 | $0.182 | $27.35 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | sell | 1.17K | $0.647 | $759.16 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.971 | $1.28K | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.409 | $409 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 172.99 | $0.370 | $64 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 589.04 | $0.200 | $117.78 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | sell | 291.01 | $0.738 | $214.77 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 209.36 | $0.670 | $140.29 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.344 | $688.69 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 31.4 | $0.025 | $0.79 | Dec 24, 2025 |