Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 6.8 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 26 Nov 2025.
Across the 314 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.9% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%; a month before, 1.4%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 18.4% on 3 May 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$21.37K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $35.56K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 207 trades, $68.6 bought Yes and $12.18K bought No; the largest was a $3.24K buy of No at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is 25usdc with 3K shares; the largest No position is twe2nty with 3.6K. Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 314 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 8.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| twe2nty | No | 3.58K |
| 25usdcVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 3K |
| mashutka |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| No |
| 986.26 |
| Anjun | Yes | 555 |
| politeste | Yes | 394 |
| hitunfar | No | 263 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 238.06 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 216.05 |
| tko55688 | Yes | 210.87 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 174 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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