Analytics
Yes is at 2%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 263 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 32.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$14.36K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $23.87K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 192 trades, $104 bought Yes and $5.58K bought No; the largest was a $2.03K buy of No at 94.8¢.
The largest Yes position is 50cents with 826 shares; the largest No position is twe2nty with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 86.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 263 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 298.79 |
| Zaratustra | No | 269 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 264.97 |
| qoxldtls | No | 246.77 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | 150 |
| politeste | Yes | 125.45 |
| balthazar | No | 123.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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