Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 861.02 | $0.171 | $322.02 | +$174.54 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.056 | $8.86 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 299.99 |
| $0.701 |
| $279.44 |
| +$69.25 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 230 | $0.520 | $182.85 | +$63.25 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.610 | $93.5 | +$32.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.800 | $86.5 | +$6.5 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.216 | $60.65 | +$32.6 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.242 | $48.5 | +$0.1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 203.18 | $0.070 | $43.58 | +$29.44 |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 652.45 | $0.067 | $39.8 | -$4.23 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 208.79 | $0.175 | $38.63 | +$2.01 |
| Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 456.88 | $0.145 | $34.27 | -$31.83 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $32.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.520 | $21.75 | -$4.25 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 25 | $0.590 | $18.63 | +$3.88 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.096 | $17.5 | -$1.7 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.610 | $16.9 | +$4.7 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.174 | $14.5 | -$20.3 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 82.41 | $0.260 | $12.36 | -$9.07 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 30 | $0.395 | $10.4 | -$1.46 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 99.99 | $0.170 | $6.5 | -$10.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.290 | $5.25 | -$9.25 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 75.45 | $0.106 | $4.9 | -$3.1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $4.5 | -$0.3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.360 | $4.05 | -$6.75 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.038 | $3.85 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 43.2 |
| $0.054 |
| $2.33 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.261 | $26.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.228 | $100.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.971 | $24.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.080 | $0.23 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 123.76 | $0.808 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 99.66 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.038 | $0.24 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.38 | $0.311 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.060 | $0.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.260 | $5.36 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.260 | $5.72 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | buy | 39.81 | $0.260 | $10.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.590 | $14.75 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.243 | $1.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.55 | $0.164 | $2.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.103 | $15.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.320 | $64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.405 | $2.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.458 | $1.44 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | May 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 188.29 | $0.864 | $162.68 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 11.71 | $0.864 | $10.12 | May 24, 2026 |