Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 44 points from 49% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 151 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 30 May 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 80.5% on 30 May 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.01K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $61.2K since listing. The order book holds $24.77K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 465 trades, $2.39K bought Yes and $17.09K bought No; the largest was a $3.85K buy of No at 80.0¢.
The largest Yes position is czbinance2050 with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is hose with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 76.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hose | No | 2.21K |
| czbinance2050 | Yes | 1.63K |
| qoxldtls | Yes | 1.03K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ostium-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| donmaximi |
| No |
| 557.08 |
| cryptojonnnny1 | Yes | 529 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 474.03 |
| javalt133 | No | 430 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 300 |
| twe2nty | No | 273.84 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 257.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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