Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 84.86 | $0.010 | $1.02 | +$0.17 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.027 | $0.19 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 31.98 |
| $0.028 |
| $0.85 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 51.08 | $0.012 | $0.74 | +$0.13 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 82 | $0.010 | $0.66 | -$0.16 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 23.99 | $0.023 | $0.55 | $0 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 317.58 | $0.002 | $0.48 | -$0.16 |
 Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13 | $0.014 | $0.47 | +$0.29 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 43.19 | $0.011 | $0.45 | -$0 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 299 | $0.001 | $0.45 | +$0.15 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 52.7 | $0.012 | $0.42 | -$0.21 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31 | $0.025 | $0.42 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 272.31 | $0.001 | $0.41 | +$0.14 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 115 | $0.003 | $0.4 | +$0.06 |
 Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 65.64 | $0.004 | $0.39 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 21.77 | $0.018 | $0.38 | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.024 | $0.38 | -$0.02 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 223.38 | $0.001 | $0.34 | +$0.11 |
 Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 167 | $0.002 | $0.33 | $0 |
 Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 333.78 | $0.001 | $0.33 | $0 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.025 | $0.32 | -$0.04 |
 Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 18 | $0.020 | $0.31 | -$0.05 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 13 | $0.024 | $0.31 | -$0.01 |
| Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 76.01 | $0.002 | $0.3 | +$0.15 |
 Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 147.92 | $0.002 | $0.3 | $0 |
 Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 295 | $0.001 | $0.29 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.16 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.002 | $0.21 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.013 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.013 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 29.53 | $0.004 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.013 | $0.22 | 2d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.010 | $0.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.015 | $0.21 | 2d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.022 | $0.18 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.009 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 27.96 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.015 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | 2d ago |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.008 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.006 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 147 | $0.001 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 50.9 | $0.020 | $1.02 | 3d ago |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 19.93 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 3d ago |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.020 | $0.14 | 3d ago |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 154.9 | $0.001 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.006 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.023 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.97 | $0.014 | $0.13 | 3d ago |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.027 | $0.22 | 3d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 25.98 | $0.006 | $0.16 | 3d ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.005 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 102.99 | $0.018 | $1.85 | 3d ago |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.015 | $0.18 | 3d ago |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 7.86 | $0.011 | $0.09 | 3d ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.017 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.013 | $0.08 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.012 | $0.07 | 3d ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.015 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.007 | $0.19 | 3d ago |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.004 | $0.1 | 3d ago |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.024 | $0.12 | 3d ago |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.99 | $0.010 | $0.07 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.026 | $0.07 | 3d ago |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.021 | $0.15 | 3d ago |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.34 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.61 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.006 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.002 | $0.22 | 4d ago |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.002 | $0.16 | 4d ago |
 Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.002 | $0.01 | 4d ago |