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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5.96 | $0.689 | $5.15 | +$1.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.940 | $5.04 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.44 |
| $0.380 |
| $5.12 |
| +$2.67 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 5.14 | $0.901 | $5.02 | +$0.4 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.18 | $0.870 | $4.84 | +$0.34 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5.75 | $0.670 | $4.8 | +$0.95 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5.08 | $0.732 | $4.55 | +$0.83 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 12.71 | $0.278 | $4.47 | +$0.94 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 4.42 | $0.950 | $4.33 | +$0.13 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 11.49 | $0.410 | $4.08 | -$0.63 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 4.05 | $0.952 | $3.94 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 8.25 | $0.560 | $3.92 | -$0.7 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 4.04 | $0.860 | $3.78 | +$0.3 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 4.62 | $0.770 | $3.68 | +$0.12 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 3.97 | $0.875 | $3.59 | +$0.12 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.23 | $0.495 | $3.36 | -$0.22 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 4.16 | $0.510 | $3.35 | +$1.23 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.570 | $3.23 | -$0.57 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 6.38 | $0.564 | $3.16 | -$0.44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 10.52 | $0.383 | $3.1 | -$0.92 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 3.28 | $0.908 | $3.1 | +$0.12 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 3.1 | $0.850 | $2.98 | +$0.34 |
 Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 3.43 | $0.610 | $2.9 | +$0.81 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.94 | $0.238 | $2.88 | -$1.87 |
 Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 2.88 | $0.934 | $2.8 | +$0.11 |
 Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? | No | 4.54 | $0.570 | $2.79 | +$0.2 |
| sell |
| 4.54 |
| $0.964 |
| $4.38 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.957 | $3.19 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.975 | $3.74 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 4.38 | $0.953 | $4.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.961 | $2.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.98 | $0.980 | $1.94 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.985 | $2.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 4.78 | $0.987 | $4.72 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.928 | $4.79 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.600 | $4.76 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6.23 | $0.790 | $4.92 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.790 | $4.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.72 | $0.650 | $5.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.820 | $5.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.976 | $5.33 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.850 | $5.35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 5.59 | $0.996 | $5.57 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.701 | $5.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.68 | $0.380 | $5.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.640 | $5.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.860 | $5.74 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.880 | $5.86 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | sell | 6.2 | $0.984 | $6.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.890 | $6.38 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | sell | 7.08 | $0.930 | $6.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 50.04 | $0.130 | $6.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.999 | $6.77 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 14.8 | $0.470 | $6.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.930 | $7.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.91 | $0.920 | $7.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | sell | 7.65 | $0.972 | $7.44 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.830 | $7.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 12.4 | $0.640 | $7.94 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.958 | $8.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.42 | $0.961 | $10.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 10.7 | $0.974 | $10.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.989 | $10.63 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 13.99 | $0.860 | $12.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 28.53 | $0.450 | $12.84 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?No | sell | 13.81 | $0.951 | $13.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 31.49 | $0.458 | $14.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.985 | $14.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.190 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.750 | $4.73 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 5.77 | $0.610 | $3.52 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 2.95 | $0.610 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.700 | $5.17 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.689 | $3.84 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No | sell | 6.71 | $0.870 | $5.84 | Aug 5, 2026 |