Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | 300 | $0.670 | $297.6 | +$96.6 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 39.59 | $0.797 | $31.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 89.59 |
| $0.770 |
| $63.7 |
| -$5.34 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 171.51 | $0.008 | $0.43 | -$0.94 |
| sell |
| 5.55K |
| $0.004 |
| $22.18 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.72K | $0.008 | $45.74 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.33K | $0.006 | $49.97 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.670 | $201 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.67K | $0.003 | $17.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.67K | $0.005 | $28.36 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.008 | $66.62 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 99.73 | $0.981 | $97.83 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.72 | $0.582 | $21.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.72K | $0.009 | $51.49 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.72K | $0.009 | $51.49 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.73 | $0.922 | $34.79 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.018 | $1.16 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 26.51 | $0.830 | $22 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.46K | $0.001 | $5.46 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.960 | $54.72 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.35K | $0.002 | $10.7 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.06K | $0.005 | $20.32 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.910 | $66.43 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.06K | $0.004 | $16.25 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 3.7K | $0.005 | $19.92 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 103 | $0.998 | $102.79 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.006 | $22.2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.992 | $25.79 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110 | $0.990 | $108.9 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 102 | $0.996 | $101.59 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 7.34K | $0.006 | $44.03 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.996 | $1.06K | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.998 | $1.14K | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.989 | $1.17K | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 995.45 | $0.990 | $985.5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 984.97 | $0.995 | $980.05 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.998 | $5.45 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 984.97 | $0.996 | $981.03 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | sell | 2.03K | $0.001 | $2.03 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?No | buy | 997.94 | $0.972 | $970 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No | sell | 980.98 | $0.998 | $979.02 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No | buy | 980.98 | $0.999 | $980 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.994 | $999.99 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 184.11 | $0.988 | $181.9 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.915 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.994 | $1K | Dec 21, 2024 |